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Sunday, January 23, 2022

OPTIMISTIC  :)

 -1 January 2022  Colorado Forest Fire in the winter time destroys nearly 1,000 homes followed by a foot of snow the next day!

-4 January 2022  Major snow storm in Virginia stands motorists in 10+ inches of snow for 50 miles traffic jam along I-95 corridor with no way to send help. Sudden snow dump and ice, plows could not keep up with snowfall, ice, cars stuck, trucks jack knifed and fallen trees across roads.  

-15 January 2022 Iowa sees heaviest snowfall in 50 years.

-15 January 2022 Undersea Volcano explodes in Tonga sending tsunami across Pacific Ocean.   

-COVID and it's current variant omricon killing thousands around the world and making millions sick. Still overwhelming hospitals, doctors and nurses.  Millions still refuse to wear masks.

-Labor shortage.  Nobody wants to work low paying, service industry jobs.  Burger King paying $18/hr to flip burgers in Utah.  

-Supply chain impacts from COVID, seeing some empty shelves in stores.  Most prices have risen 7-10% over last year.  

-Thousands of flights were cancelled over the holidays due to COVID and bad weather, stranding travelers and interrupting travel plans.

-Average cost of gas in the US was $2.42/gallon January 2021.  Average gas price is $3.39/gallon January 2022. 

-Inflation in the US was 1.23% in 2021.  Skyrocketed to year-over-year inflation rate to 7.04% in 2022.

-Rumors of war in Ukraine.  Russia is preparing to invade Ukraine.


...........And this is just the first two weeks of 2022 !

 There are many things we can take away.  For me, I see the importance or drawing closer to the Lord.  Drawing closer to my family.  Treating others with greater kindness. Forgiving more and overlooking my faults and the mistakes of others.  If you like the scriptures, then we see evidence of living in the last days (Latter Days) that were prophesied by Prophets in the Bible and Book of Mormon.

Of course the physical lessons are not lost on me as well and include, What can I do if we lost power for a couple weeks?  How would I heat the house? Do I have water for two weeks?  Do I have food for two weeks?  Can I help my family and neighbors if I am prepared?  Is my gas tank full before I depart into a storm? Do I need to travel in bad weather?  If God has given the gift of medicine and medical care, do I do all I can to take advantage of that?  

Maybe you can't change others, but you can change yourself.  Sometimes you can change over night and sometimes it takes time.  But you can control you, your reactions, emotions, preparedness and closeness to God.  The days feel like they are shortening and the turmoils are increasing.  When I start to get worried or discouraged, I reflect on the words of our living prophet Russell M. Nelson and past prophets.  Each speak of hope, excitement and are optimistic for the future.  Yes, there will be things which might discourage us, but don't look at the darkness, focus on the light and that light comes from Jesus Christ and obedience to His commandments.

I hope you enjoy some quotes and talks by our leaders to reinforce your optimism for the future!

https://www.deseret.com/faith/2020/3/14/21180106/president-nelson-coronavirus-message-mormon-lds-church-covid-19-pandemic

https://www.deseret.com/faith/2021/3/11/21589795/during-covid19-pandemic-president-nelson-shared-empathy-optimism-22-times-latter-day-saints

https://www.churchofjesuschrist.org/study/new-era/2018/06/look-forward-to-the-future-with-faith?lang=eng

https://latterdaysaintinsights.byu.edu/en/how-can-i-be-optimistic-about-the-future/

https://www.churchofjesuschrist.org/study/ensign/2009/05/be-of-good-cheer?lang=eng

https://www.thechurchnews.com/living-faith/2020-10-18/tad-r-callister-optimism-turbulent-times-covid-19-195477

https://speeches.byu.edu/talks/gordon-b-hinckley/lord-helm/

https://www.thechurchnews.com/archives/2001-03-31/limitless-is-your-potential-magnificent-is-your-future-115126

https://www.churchofjesuschrist.org/topics/humanitarian-service/helping-hands?lang=eng

https://www.sltrib.com/news/2022/01/22/church-jesus-christ/

https://newsroom.churchofjesuschrist.org/article/mormon-inner-city-project-blesses-lives

https://www.churchofjesuschrist.org/study/manual/gospel-topics/relief-society?lang=eng

 


Saturday, February 20, 2021

TEXAS-Just When We Think We've Seen Everything!

16 February 2021, Texas

A storm brought Texas to its knees with freezing temperatures and a winter storm to (yes, sunny HOT Texas) in less than 24 hours.  

BLUF:  We are encouraged to have a year supply of these goods where possible by our Prophet and Apostles (The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-Day Saints).  See this link for more information.

https://providentliving.churchofjesuschrist.org/food-storage/?lang=eng

What happened remains to be completely understood but roughly went something like this:

1. Texas on own power grid.  Isn't able to get electricity from other outside providers.

2. A similar storm came 10 years before (2011), changes were suggested and some implemented, but 10 years later Texas were impacted again.

3. Pipelines froze that carried natural gas and crude oil. Ice brought down power lines.

4. Because the winter storm effected the entire state, production couldn't be shifted from one portion of Texas to another. It is what is called a "Black Swan" event.  (A rare occurrence).

5. Equipment wasn't winterized like is done in colder states and countries, because it costs $ to winterize for a rare event.  (Why would you build a flood wall around your house if you live in the desert-the chances of a torrential down our is remote and you can spend the millions of dollars on other projects more needed now).

6. Storm was underestimated.  But, it's the weather!

7. Just when the grid was experiencing problems is when the residents were increasing their demand for heating their homes, more electricity, more natural gas.

8. Solar and wind did go off line, but since it isn't widely accepted as a huge source of power, it's impact was minimal.

9. When the grid essentially went down for long or short periods of time, people were left in the dark, in the cold-no, way to heat their homes, AND long lines formed at places that sold propane, AND grocery stores had ANOTHER run on their stores (also had to discard food when power was lost for safety reasons) -i.e. food shortages (people start to over buy) AND water coming into homes needed to be boiled or water supplies were cut off all together or pipes froze (can't buy water, can't wash clothes, can't take a shower).

10. Schools stopped teaching, no internet (no electricity). Delays in getting COVID-19 vaccine due to clinics and pharmacies closed.

11. This is not a political post, but hopefully politicians learn from this....probably not a good time to abandon ones elected office to bask in Mexico's warmth, hospitality and abundance while your constituents can't buy food, can't get warm, can't get water, can't wash their cloths or take a bath, can't work, clinics and hospitals can't provide healthcare and citizens can't get information.  "I regret this has become a distraction." Flight delays (except to Mexico). Perception is reality.

From this we should learn:

1. Nobody woke up and said, "I'm going to make life miserable for everyone."

2.  No reason to point fingers, everyone has done what they thought best, including you. Allocating resources will never be perfect, but we do the best we can with the information and experience we've had.

3.  Yes, maybe a politician or so may have made some perceived poor choices, but wouldn't you do the same if you could?

With all that said, what can we do going forward so we rely more on ourselves instead of others.  Because who knows, someday, when someone is struggling, maybe you can make a difference in their life.

1.  Prepare.  Store food and water and fuel where it's legal and permitted.  How much depends on how long you want to eat or drink or stay warm.

2. Share your blessings (when possible)  to bless the lives of others.


Sources:

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/02/17/how-the-texas-power-grid-failed-and-what-could-stop-it-from-happening-again.html

https://news.trust.org/item/20210219135408-fv8ak

https://dfw.cbslocal.com/2021/02/18/dfw-area-store-shelves-empty-winter-storms/

https://www.texastribune.org/2021/02/16/natural-gas-power-storm/

https://www.texastribune.org/2021/02/16/natural-gas-power-storm/

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/list-majority-of-southeast-texas-under-boil-water-order-after-severe-winter-weather/ar-BB1dJZ5X 

https://www.npr.org/2021/02/18/969151143/under-boil-water-orders-texas-water-supply-is-strained

https://www.wfaa.com/article/weather/texas-winter-storm-weather-impacts-boil-order-outages-school-closures-forecast-february-18/287-5f5b7a8a-4544-4a78-bd98-760970723a21

https://sanantonioreport.org/cold-weather-gas-stations/

https://www.statesman.com/story/news/2021/02/20/austin-searches-bottled-water-distribution-as-recovery-begins/4522646001/

https://apnews.com/article/houston-football-storms-coronavirus-pandemic-hurricanes-5fd491ed5bfd9aa0ae08426c6078539e

 

 

 

 


Sunday, October 11, 2020

 When we prepare for a passage we provision for 2-3 times the amount of time we anticipate we will be at sea.  If it’s a 10-day sail, we’ll provision for a month!  Because, hope for the best, plan for the worst.

 https://www.gonewiththewynns.com/our-boat-1-year-away?fbclid=IwAR3MPKYANI-U6z58bppOIgFU5Odw8TMyEpn_g9zYsOoaXlLTKMbXL8be5bw 

I really liked this quote.  It comes from a family that sails the world, but I think their wisdom is wise and something I want to adapt in my self-reliance efforts. 

Sunday, September 27, 2020

 These videos are important from a business perspective and not necessarily from an individual or family preparedness view.  I wanted to have a place where I could post information and videos of the work private businesses are doing behind the scenes to help us prepare. We go to the store, see empty shelves and think they aren't doing anything.  But in reality, these stores are days and weeks ahead of us trying to meet the supply and demand of us as consumers.  Impressive!

 

11 November 2020  Utah grocers stock up for holidays, pandemic winter 

https://www.ksl.com/article/50046449/utah-grocers-stock-up-for-holidays-pandemic-winter

27 September 2020  Grocers stockpile, build 'pandemic pallets' ahead of winter.  https://www.wsj.com/articles/grocers-stockpile-build-pandemic-pallets-ahead-of-winter-11601199000

24 July 2020   An inside look at how H-E-B's emergency preparedness team got ready for the Coronavirus crisis.   https://www.msn.com/en-us/foodanddrink/foodnews/an-inside-look-at-how-h-e-b-s-emergency-preparedness-team-got-ready-for-the-coronavirus-crisis/ar-BB179vHb



Wednesday, September 23, 2020

 Spot fires- Why are these videos something worth your time?  Because it shows how quickly a fire can spread beyond the normal fire line.  When we understand that we think we are safe because the fire is far away, just one ember in the wind can change the dynamics of time and evacuation.  The videos won't necessarily teach you anything you didn't already know, but they might cause us to rethink evacuating sooner.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JIXJjLSNPCU

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oEqYN0hsUn0&t=12s

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hRDM3ir3l5M



Tuesday, September 22, 2020

 

This post is focused on the efforts of members of The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-Day Saints and either their experiences in disasters or how members came to the relief of others.  I will update as I come across future articles or videos.

20 Mar 2021  Residents and Volunteers Help Fight Hunger https://newsroom.churchofjesuschrist.org/article/residents-and-volunteers-help-fight-hunger-in-feed-utah-food-drive?fbclid=IwAR1AWDnNsTHzrRU6-su_p5w1x8HSEJdrNb76_UwwaRY2uOZlHAWOJbwxDhA

27 Feb 2021 Texans Receive Aid Following Record Winter Storm https://newsroom.churchofjesuschrist.org/article/texans-receive-aid-following-winter-storm

26 Feb 2021  Latter-Day Saints Charities Commits US$20 Million in Support of UNICEF's Global COVID19 Response https://newsroom.churchofjesuschrist.org/article/latter-day-saint-charities-unicef-covid-19-response

19 Feb 2021 Church Donates Over $200,000 Worth of Covid-19 Supplies In Botswana https://news-za.churchofjesuschrist.org/article/church-donates-227-000-worth-of-covid-19-supplies-in-botswana

19 Feb 2021 Local Church Leaders Offering Initial Relief in Storm-Staggered Texas, Oklahoma https://newsroom.churchofjesuschrist.org/article/local-church-leaders-offering-initial-relief-in-storm-staggered-texas-oklahoma

18 Feb 2021 'Latter-day Saint Showers' Offers Dignity to Riverside, California, Homeless Population                                                                                          https://newsroom.churchofjesuschrist.org/article/latter-day-saint-showers-offers-dignity-to-riverside-california-homeless-population

3 Feb 2021 Church Distributes Food to Native Americans During Pandemic https://newsroom.churchofjesuschrist.org/article/church-distributes-food-native-americans-during-pandemic 

3 Feb 2021 Latter-day Saint Charities Provides 30 Million Meals to Children https://newsroom.churchofjesuschrist.org/article/30-million-meals

19 Oct 2020 How the Church Organizes Before and After Disasters to Provide a Helping Hand  https://newsroom.churchofjesuschrist.org/article/how-the-church-organizes-before-after-disasters-provide-helping-hand?fbclid=IwAR3KGiFJFr5irv1l6cF8OECmyZmecVsYrGBArk54D8h3sQTQGnOuR72ERwU

10 Oct 2020  Worldwide, Food shortages   https://www.deseret.com/faith/2020/10/9/21444596/world-food-program-nobel-peace-prize-latter-day-saint-charities-hunger-coronavirus-mormon?fbclid=IwAR03Ckrhhnytaz-FLyW305Sydttpwpyk7R3RQfd1HdPzVUMF9OidaTn12r4

27 Sept 2020   Utah, USA  Windstorm  https://newsroom.churchofjesuschrist.org/article/after-severe-windstorm-latter-day-saints-participate-in-%E2%80%9Coperation-firewood-rescue-to-help-utahs-native-americans?fbclid=IwAR3zXZCxMWuGs2vdekp7iiEvuOGeSU1klVRk-6j0HHh9Onsxq2AeZ-0lOj4

26 Sept 2020  Oregon, USA Fires    Volunteers assist with fire recovery efforts in the Western US.  https://newsroom.churchofjesuschrist.org/article/volunteers-assist-fire-recovery-efforts-western-us

20 Sept 2020   Oregon, USA  Fires     https://www.deseret.com/faith/2020/9/20/21445803/almeda-fire-oregon-washington-mormon-latter-day-saints-homes-burned-forest-tinder-dry-drought


Monday, September 21, 2020

This evacuation kit is my personal kit.  It is not designed for avoiding zombies, the end of days, living off the land with guns and gold or hiking or camping.  It is for the average person who wants to prepare. It is designed for you, if you have to go to a hotel or family/friends home. Yes, somethings such as a water purifier won’t be necessary, but I like having them in my preparedness “tool box” along with a tent and sleeping bag -kind of a combination evacuation kit/family home preparedness, but I haven’t put them into the below list. 

It looks like a lot, it’s not, just detailed and again, tailored for our family.  Find what works for you.  Don’t think of cost or feel guilty.  Start with what you have and build on it over time.  Nobody has everything or is prepared for everything. This is just a starting point. Having this list will help you take things you need/want, not just the first things you see.  

Video posts I link to are not in any way to be perceived as negative or positive.  They do not point fingers or make judgements.  They are strictly to demonstrate different experiences people have.  This way you can experience them ahead of time and think, “What would I do?”

 

Psychology of Emergency

1.      When people are affected by change, especially with something so dramatic and possibly catastrophic as an evacuation, for every person there is a different range of feelings, emotions and reactions.  From joking, to serious, to shut down (unable to make decisions).  Logical to illogical.  Be patient and show kindness.

2.      They’ve never experienced a worst-case scenario; therefore, people will stay until it’s too late.

3.      Some will wait for multiple sources of validation, most waiting on social verification. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U__XFKVfXeM

4.      People don’t realize the disaster is headed their way or changes at the last minute leaving them no time to evacuate.  Many will stay in their homes because it’s always been a place of safety.  But all you have to do is pick up your car keys, take your family and pets and leave. It might be an inconvenience if it turns out to be nothing, but how thankful and relieved you’ll feel if it turned out to be something much worse than you’ve ever experienced and your family is safe, far away.

5.      Heed the warnings when they come, but above all, trust your gut/instinct.

6.      Waiting to evacuate means more traffic on the road, longer evacuation time, greater chance of getting stuck and becoming part of the emergency, more stress, less ability to control the situation.

7.      You can expect no information or misinformation.  Best thing to do is to is if you wonder if you should evacuate, YOU SHOULD EVACUTE. Sometimes, you just won’t get the message to evacuate.  YOU have to make that call.  Frankly, if you are wondering if you should evacuate, then you know what you need to do!  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VTSmitCjQjM

8.      Because disasters (fire, hurricane, flooding) occur with greater speed, intensity, and frequency than in the past, it is in everyone’s interest to leave as soon as a threat is identified.  Winds change direction, winds pick up speed, fires create spot fires -miles in front of the main fire, hurricanes change their direction from forecasted paths, hurricanes intensify dramatically in a short period of time -from CAT 1 to CAT 5 within 24 hours, Tornadoes go wherever they want.  100 or 1000 year flooding events happen more frequently. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oEqYN0hsUn0

9.      Some people will die trying to save the last item.

10.   There will come a moment when first responders (firefighters, sheriff) won’t put out fires, they will try to warn people to evacuate.  They won’t be able to notify you personally or come to your rescue.  Don’t wait for the government to tell you to leave, take ownership and make the call early. 

11.   Evacuation notices may come via text, news, neighbors, social media, phone calls, or not at all. 

12.   In an evacuation, fallen trees may block your route, a disabled car may prevent you from evacuating due to mechanical problems or lack of gas, you can only go as fast as the slowest car. People ahead of you may have abandoned their cars due to fires or flooding. Because you are behind them you won’t know what’s going on.

13.   Don’t get mesmerized or focused so much on a threat in front of you such as a fire or flooding, sometimes spot fires can appear behind you or flooding can approach from behind you while you are focused on what appears to be the main threat in front of you.  Since a disaster/threat can appear from any direction at the last second, if you identify a threat, best to consider it within the realm of possibility it could appear next door without notice due to winds or geography. Here’s a great example of what I am talking about.  The individual is focused on an incredible tsunami hitting his town when all of a sudden the water approaches from behind and he doesn’t see it starting at 5:31.  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I-Bnk_tyMW8&t=387s

14.   Take the initiative to listen to the radio or TV for the latest news. Don’t wait to be ordered to leave your residence, leave early and go.

15.   Anticipate the need to evacuate and prepare for it BEFORE the emergency.

16.   If you are evacuating, so is everyone else.  The lucky ones can go to family and friends, but not everybody can.  If you are going to evacuate, try to reserve a room asap.  Because everyone else is doing the same.  The closer you are to the evacuation, the faster those hotels are filling up! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ABQRMOwi5rc

17.   Last of all, plans are just that, plans.  They are intended to get you ready for a disaster, but no disaster goes according to plan, so be flexible. Adapt, overcome, improvise. But make a decision!

Get Ready

1.      Important papers & thumb drive

2.      Flashlight & headlamp-spare batteries, solar powered lights

3.      Have a multiple USB wall charger

4.      Two reading glasses

5.      Water bottles

6.      Water filter-in case your home loses clean water

7.      Food with manual can opener

a.      Crackers, Peanut butter

b.      Cereal

c.      Microwave popcorn (stress food)

d.       Macaroni & Cheese

e.     Cookies

f.     Protein bars

g.     Jerky

h.     Some like canned meat, vegetables, MREs, dehydrated fruit, raisins   

8.      Sundries-hand soap, shampoo, deodorant, razors, toothbrushes, toothpaste, comb, washcloth, towel, TP, feminine supplies

9.      Medicine-home kit (NOT hiking or car first aid kit)

a.      Headlamp-yes, another one, this one in the emergency kit

b.      Hand sanitizer-small bottle

c.      Tylenol, Advil/Motrin- fever and pain

d.      Ibuprofen- reduces swelling, fever reducer and pain

e.      Mucinex DM MAX-for bad cough and congestion

f.       Pepto-Bismol-diarrhea

g.      Gatorade- (not red) to replenish electrolytes

h.      Benadryl-allergic reactions

i.       Aspirin (non-coated)-heart attacks

j.       Glucose tablets-someone with low blood sugar

k.      Water purification tablets

l.       Q-tips

m.    Leukotape or duct tape-blisters or cuts

n.      Band aids/Bandages and gauze-cuts and scrapes

o.      Ace bandage-sprains

p.      Tourniquet

q.      Superglue

r.       Large and medium safety pins

s.      Long strips of Velcro-great for securing sprains

t.       Chap stick-chap lips

u.      Permanent Sharpie

v.      Blood clot

w.    Tweezers-slivers, stingers

x.      Lighter

y.      Scissors

z.      Medicine for children with measuring syringe

                                                              i.     Children’s Tylenol-cough and cold

                                                             ii.     Children’s Motrin-pain reliever, fever reducer

                                                            iii.     Children’s Benadryl-allergy

aa.   Electronics Bag

                                                              i.     Car Charger USB adapter

                                                             ii.     AC Outlet USB adapter

                                                            iii.     Portapow Data Blocker

                                                            iv.     2 USB cords for phone or other electronics

                                                             v.     2 Ankar battery bricks-charged with cord and wall plug

                                                            vi.     USB rechargeable flashlight

                                                          vii.     2 sets of reading glasses-yes more reading glasses

                                                         viii.     AAA, AA, D batteries

bb.  Practice how to treat for shock, burns, sprains, cuts, broken bones and breathing stopped

10.   Hand sanitizer, face masks and wipes

11.   Paper cups, bowls, plates with plastic ware

12.   Dog food with bowls for food and water, leash

13.   Baby food, diapers, formula, bottles, Desitin, wipes, blanket

14.   NOAA alert radio with headphones (battery powered or hand crank)

15.   Paper, pencil, pen, black-permanent sharpie, duct tape

16.   Road map-with at least two evacuation routes

17.   Wide brimmed hat-for balding dads who might be in the sun

18.   Poncho-for working in the rain

19.   Socks

20.   Two sets of work gloves

21.   Bungie cords-to attach something to car trunk or roof

22.   550 cord or straps-see above

23.   Learn your community’s emergency response plan

24.   Fill up car and fill up all gas cans

25.   Have some cash in your kit. $1, $5, $10 & $20 for purchases when electricity doesn’t work

26.   Take a picture of each family member-in case you get separated you have their picture to show authorities. Consider printing and laminating them.

Winter considerations for evacuation

1.      Snow shovel & kitty litter

2.      Hand warmers

3.      Gloves, winter hats, scarf/buff/balaclava

4.      Ice scrapper

5.      Warm undershirt and pants (base layer)

 

Evacuation – If you have days or hours of advance notice (hurricane, fire many miles away)

1.      Shut off air conditioning

2.      Shut windows and doors

3.      Put your emergency kit in the car

4.      Ask friend/family outside the area if you can stay with them if the need arises

5.      Charge your electronics-change phone settings to preserve battery power

6.      Fill bathtub with water

Get Set   -  Last minute items

1.      Don’t panic, breath, stay calm

2.      Nothing is important anymore, get the family and pets and leave

3.      Your garage door may need to be manually opened-if no power.

4.      Wallet/purse

5.      Medicine

6.      Phone with charger

7.      Computer with charger

8.      Keys

9.      Pillow, blanket

10.   Pets with kennel

11.   Family heirlooms (pictures, old family Bible, etc…)

12.   Safe  -important documents

13.   Bras/underwear/socks/pants/shirts/shoes

14.   Children’s favorite toy, stuffed animal, blanket

Go

1.      Leave ASAP, the longer you delay, the more cars get on the road before you, delaying your evacuation and the safety of your family.

2.      Don’t wait for an evacuation order. It may never come.

3.      Once you get to where you are save, notify friends, family religious congregation over text, email, social media phone call that you are safe, where you are, and how to reach you!